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I don't agree with @frank9755, but he's not shit-stirring, it's useful opinion to see.
I completely agree that it's a useful perspective and I'm glad that it's being presented. Of course it's not something to take lightly or to make assumptions on others' behalf (in either direction). I guess my rebuttal boils down to "if you're not in favour of fighting now, then when?" Pacifism is a reasonable viewpoint, but if you think that fighting has any valid applications, then surely this is what it is for (assuming that our views align to some degree on the impossibility of an acceptable diplomatic resolution to this).
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What would you do? If I could, I'd get away. I wouldn't get jingositic about wanting to give the Ruskies a bloody nose with my Molotov cocktail against a tank
And yet people are preparing to do exactly that. Not only that, people are returning to the country to fight, so your inclinations here don't really carry much weight. If you're bemoaning them having to fight tanks with Molotov cocktails presumably one solution is to arm them better.
War is shit. Fighting one isn't necessarily the worst thing though.
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I don't think that most Ukrainians would see the return of (at least) the territory invaded during this conflict as a "concession" from the Russians. Even the withdrawal of support from militias in the Donbas would barely be a concession, it's just falling into line with basic, modern, functional statehood i.e., not laying claim to the territory of other states.
There's a strange undertone in this thread of deploring the Stop the War stance, while still seeming to know exactly what is best for Ukrainians. It may not be possible to reclaim Crimea and parts of the Donbas from effective Russian control, but it's still abhorrent to say "it's ok, you've only got to give up these additional sections of your country that have just been seized."
Like it or not, international pressure will be very hard to ignore, since sanctions seem to be effective in that they're doing severe damage to the Russian economy. Third-parties including the EU and the US, could still keep these in place, even if Ukraine and Russia did negotiate a cease-fire, but it's likely that future actions on that front would be discussed with Ukraine.
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The strength of resistance (including civilians) suggests to me that acceptable terms of peace wouldn't give too much, if anything, to Putin/Russia. But who knows how long that opinion (if held) would last.
I think international opinion will be quite important here. Ukraine's government can argue for whatever settlement they feel strikes the right balance, but I think international opinion will be strongly against conceding anything at all (and I wonder if negotiations might be used to revisit the question of Crimea). The relative inaction by the West to the annexation of Crimea is quite shameful, but it was the response to a (arguably) rational act of Russia expanding to gain a warm-water port. This invasion is, in contrast, completely unjustified in terms of strategic objectives and is clearly solely politically driven by Putin. As such, I can't see any of the gains that it has made being allowed to stand if it comes to negotiations.
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I was wondering about wet&dry paper or scotchbrite. Alternatively I wonder if Scalextric/Model Railway track rubbers might be up to the job, or even one of those dual compound pencil/ink erasers.
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I think what you're not factoring in is the effect on Russian public opinion of Putin failing to secure a fast victory and of thousands of young Russian men being returned ro Russia in boxes. Nobody celebrates the loss of life on either side, but Putin has seemed immovable so far because he has been seen to create stability rather than prosperity. If his judgement is shown not to be sound and it costs Russian lives (during the invasion and the occupation) then he may be ousted.
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Putin will control Ukraine
I think it's realistic to think that Russia will occupy Ukraine at some point. The question is for how long. Occupations are notoriously hard and Ukrainians have shown themselves to be remarkably brave and united in resisting so far. If there is an occupation then the body-bags will trickle back steadily to Russia and at some point I think the Russian people will have had enough.
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I am not sure I support a NATO overt action; but we must also ask if not now, when?
I think the answer is (and has always been) "when a member state of NATO is attacked". My understanding is that those are the terms on which NATO exists. It is a deterrent to its members being invaded, not a global peacekeeper.
Is there a way of representing a 2x2 logic matrix within a flowchart without repeating a question in 2 separate locations? I've got 2 binary questions that I need to ask, but putting them in either order collapses the possible paths down to only 3 of the 4 possible outcomes for the 2 questions.