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Some what related but I saw a post somewhere that I now can't find that suggested that China has had a net gain in the living due to the shut down reducing deaths from air pollution and road traffic accidents in over the same period, God knows how you would build that complexity in to the models though
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Got introduced to Hero Realms last week, really liked it, such a nicely paced game
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Basic little dashboard for the PHE data made by a data bod at the ONS:
https://fryford.github.io/corona/ -
You never watch Goodnight Sweetheart?
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Such a wierd tone in general and full of mixed messaging, at points he is going on we are already turning the tide and the actions are working and then swings back to the excess deaths will be massive if we don't do more
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Boris just saying over 70's are OK to visit for Mothers day unless they have other conditions? This not against all the advice to date?
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Looks like things are escalating quickly in London
ApparentlyLewisham and Greenwich NHS Trust also turning people away now, really hope Boris is a bit more serious today
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I wonder why they dropped off Hong Kong and Singapore?
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Someone on hear asked how would they get to the job centre or look for work if lock down happens:
The Department for Work and Pensions is expected to announce later today that it is suspending welfare conditionality rules, including for universal credit, to ensure that benefit payments are not interrupted and to ease pressure on job centres.
All face-to-face jobcentre interviews with claimants will be suspended, as will the requirement that job-seekers demonstrate that they have spend up to 35 hours a week looking for work, as the DWP moves to adapt the benefit system to cope with the economic impact of coronavirus.
Tens of thousands of people will be expected to enter the benefit system over the next few days as businesses lay off workers because of virus-related shut downs in sectors such as hospitality and retail.
Under current rules claimants are required to sign up to a range of stringent requirements as a condition of receiving benefits. Failure to adhere to the rules results in financial sanctions, including having benefits withdrawn for at least four weeks and in some cases up to six months,
The measures, which come days after the DWP announced that face to face assessments for disability benefits were to be put on hold for three months, is to ensure claimants do not feel obliged to travel into job centres because they fear they will lose their benefits if they do not attend.
The Guardian has seen evidence that local job centres have already been abandoning benefit conditionality requirements ahead of a national announcement, possibly because of pressure on staffing at local job centres.
From the 13.14 comment on
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2020/mar/19/uk-coronavirus-live-boris-johnson-london-lockdown-williamson-refuses-to-rule-out-government-putting-london-in-lockdown-by-weekend -
Sterling is taking a pounding
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Last night the Department for Transport relaxed the drivers' hours rules for the transport of some essential items, in order to combat panic buying caused by Coronavirus. Here is the official ducument in its entirety:
In response to requests from Industry, the Department for Transport has, pursuant to Article 14(2) of Regulation (EC) No 561/2006, agreed to a temporary and limited urgent relaxation of the enforcement of EU drivers’ hours rules in England, Scotland and Wales for the drivers of vehicles involved in the delivery of food, non-food (personal care and household paper and cleaning) and over the counter pharmaceuticals when undertaking the following journeys:
1) Distribution centre to stores (or fulfilment centre)
2) From manufacturer or supplier to distribution centre (including backhaul collections)
3) From manufacturer or supplier to store (or fulfilment centre)
4) Between distribution centres and transport hub trunking
5) Transport hub deliveries to stores
This exemption does not apply to drivers undertaking deliveries directly to consumers.
For the drivers and work in question, the EU drivers’ hours rules can be temporarily relaxed as follows:
a) Replacement of the EU daily driving limit of 9 hours with one of 11 hours;
b) Reduction of the daily rest requirements from 11 to 9 hours;
c) Lifting the weekly (56 hours) and fortnightly driving limits (90 hours) to 60 and 96 hours respectively;
d) Postponement of the requirement to start a weekly rest period after six-24 hours periods, for after seven 24 hours period; although two regular weekly rest periods or a regular and a reduced weekly rest period will still be required within a fortnight;
e) The requirements for daily breaks of 45 minutes after 4.5 hours driving replaced with replaced with a break of 45 minutes after 5.5 hours of driving. -
Don't worry, they got this...
https://twitter.com/Peston/status/1240042142678089730 -
They relaxed the rules on how many hours a haulier can work last night, so assume so
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All the Government guidance has over 70's as the at risk group from an age perspective
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London lockdown imminent to slow coronavirus outbreak
Capital set to face tougher measures because it is ahead of the ‘curve’ on outbreak
London is facing a lockdown, possibly before the weekend, as Boris Johnson prepares sweeping new measures — including school closures — to tackle the rapid spread of the coronavirus.
Nicola Sturgeon, Scotland’s first minister, said the UK government was about to announce “more stringent measures” for London, which Mr Johnson has conceded has become the country’s worst affected region.
Asked how far the UK was from a “complete lockdown”, Ms Sturgeon said the capital city might see tougher measures first because it was further ahead on the “curve” of the outbreak.
Scotland’s first minister is fully briefed on UK-wide coronavirus measures and Mr Johnson’s team admitted that officials were considering big new restrictions to daily life in London. “Things are moving fast,” one said.
In the UK, more than 700 cases have been reported in the past 24 hours, bringing the total to 2,626. The UK death toll has jumped by 33 to 104, with 32 of the fatalities in England and one in Scotland.
A decision on whether to lock down London — similar to the shutdown in force in cities such as Paris and Brussels — would be based on the latest advice presented to the Cobra emergency committee, which has its latest meeting on Wednesday afternoon.
Restrictions could include the closure of public transport, with pharmacies or supermarkets among the only outlets to remain open.
Schools across the UK are also expected to close by the weekend, although special provision would be made for the children of key workers, including NHS staff, to avoid the risk of parents having to take time off work for child care.
Gavin Williamson, education secretary, will make a statement to the House of Commons on plans for schools, including provision for children in receipt of free school meals, at 5pm on Wednesday.
Mr Johnson’s allies say no new measures were planned for the capital on Wednesday or Thursday, but government insiders say the lockdown might be announced on Friday. “People are looking at it, but it’s too early to say when or whether we will do this,” said another government official.
The prime minister’s spokesman said: “London seems to be moving ahead of other parts of the UK and he [Boris Johnson] advised people in London to pay particular attention to the measures we have been putting in place.”
Sadiq Khan, London’s mayor, has complained that he is not being kept fully informed of the UK government’s plans and his allies said he was not clear whether the lockdown would take place or what form it might take.
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FT speculating London lockdown from Friday:
https://www.ft.com/content/e8c98d1c-6926-11ea-a3c9-1fe6fedcca75Seems to be the trend now, rmedia rumour day 1, boris annoucement day 2, implemented day 3
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Further to my point about security forces in France:
The fine for ignoring the order to stay at home was raised to €135 (£126.11) on Wednesday and those fined were told it would rise to €375 if not paid within seven days.
In and around Paris, the police and gendarmes reported they had stopped 10,000 people and verified if they had the necessary documents allowing them to be out.
The French health minister, Olivier Véran, said most people come into contact with around 50 people per day in normal circumstances. He called on everyone to reduce this to five people.
From the gaurdian live text
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Its what other countries have done isn't it, France deployed an additional 100k to enforce lockdown, similiar in other countries. Think they just wander around asking people why they are out and telling them get off the steet as quick as possible and break up groups
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My daughter just came home with a letter saying she is now to stay at home indefinitely due to staffing shortages but only applies to Year 8 and 9
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Heard it on Radio 4, was based on Scotland and Wales closing schools and saying they stay closed until the end of the summer term, so wouldn't go back until summer holidays
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Perfect, was certain it was C4 news, thanks!
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Anyone got a link to a channel 4 news clip with an american discussing the set up of the chinese fever clinics? Can't find it, think he might of been Science editor of the NYT
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So suggestion schools closed until September? That isn't going to get old fast. My kids school has said they aren't setting normal lessons for anyone but Year 10 and 11, instead the other years can do self guided projects from a list that explore wider themes than typically on the syllabus...sounds like a lot of google in my future
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UCL tracking of growth rates
http://nrg.cs.ucl.ac.uk/mjh/covid19/?fbclid=IwAR0x7d2mNqJOQsvn8muDVCm8q1-zrWgD4k9CyyYSp0VpCW7N7-dxuQ09Owg