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Im after an Alu/Carbon composite rims 36 or 45mm deep
Similar Mavic Carbone's or the Jet Series from HED
https://www.hedwheels.com/product-page/jet-4-black-wheelset-2019Is there anywhere in china that makes this kind of hybrid?
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Sorry just catching up on the change to the Corona Act - In many ways its a whole new law AND parliament didn't vote on it.
Previously the restrictions on movement required you to have a reasonable excuse for leaving your residence. This appeared to me sensible wording because it allowed for a wide number of situations such as if you left your house to exercise but it was a hot day so stopped for a refreshment.
Or you left your house to shop for essentials, saw a friend and stop for a socially distanced chat.
Now the restrictions require to you have a reasonable excuse at all times when outside of your residence. Chatting to friends or drinking a takeaway coffee are not reasonable excuses, so publishable with a fine.
An emergency statutory instrument to push it through without a vote (not clear what the new emergency occurred since Parliament voted on the old bill only few days ago)
http://www.legislation.gov.uk/uksi/2020/447/made? -
The term 'outlier' is being mis-used here, they are entries in the dataset within 1 sigma.
Your right about swine flu, more likely the spike was the 50,000 excess deaths in 2018 from the normal season flu thought linked to an ineffective vaccine.
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The Source data is from the ONS all deaths data Wales and England.
Its the exact same graph from the FT
I posted hereStolen from a research fellow at UCL on twitter and changed the formatting to make 2020 look of greater significance.
https://twitter.com/HarryKennard/status/1255060961167314944The 1970 data point is likely the impact of the Hong Kong Flu
And the later ones Swine Flu in 2010
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Assuming a gaussian distribution a standard Alpha of 0.05
Even if you wanted to remove the outlier in 1970, we haven't deviated from the mean for the year as a whole.
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Weekly deaths England & Wales over the last 50 years *per capita for population growth
To spell it out, 2020 Excess deaths are not significant, its excess deaths for week 15 to 20 in 2020 that show significance.
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Neil Ferguson finally open sources his model...
https://github.com/mrc-ide/covid-sim
*Warning you need visual studio and 20gb of Ram
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Better chart showing UK excess deaths in 2020 compared to the last five previous years.
Would like to see this done for the last 50 for it to be relative.Should open the debate to why previous excess death rates were accepted (or even noticed)
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Neil Ferguson’s responds to Johan Giesecke claim that the UK was wrong to implement its lockdown measures.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6cYjjEB3Ev8
If nothing else COVID-19 has shown how traditional journalism is unable to handle complex issues.
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NYT drilling down into total deaths vs corona deaths for different countries.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/04/21/world/coronavirus-missing-deaths.htmlAgain the control (sweden) showing negative correlation in government mandated/influenced lockdowns as an effective tool in the management of the disease.
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Found the Corba charts sh0wn in the daily briefings are antithetical to those shown in the FT
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Its ONS data not John Hopkins.
A better measure of the impact of Corona as it covers all deaths, not just those thought related to the COVID-19 virus .
I couldn't find the full 50 years of death data online but I did find 2001 to 2017
*Couldn't be bothered to workout the Sigma by hand but Excel tells me it the dataset has a standard deviation of 34439So you are right, 40000 deaths is outside of a single deviation
It might even be 'unprecedented' but with the level of varation, well within expectation. -
The little blue dots suggest a wide variation of excess deaths week by week for the whole season over the last 50 years.
Its certainly 'unprecedented' for week 15 to have this many deaths, but its not for the season as a whole to swing by the odd 40,000 eitherway.
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Chris Giles again of the FT
Calling the registered deaths 'unprecedented' but looks within the standard deviation
https://twitter.com/ChrisGiles_ -
Does anyone know why the graph data published by John Burn-Murdoch in the FT every day doesn't contain data for Sweden?
I think they might be reporting deaths in a different way but seems strange to leave out the only control data available in this global lockdown experiment.
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The claim by Nobel laureate Luc Montagnier (discoverer of HIV) that SARS-CoV-2 genome contains inserted HIV sequences is based on a now-withdrawn preprint of a study that contained significant flaws in design and execution. The alleged “HIV insertions” identified by study authors are in fact gene sequences that can also be found in many other organisms besides HIV.
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