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This accurately reflects the situation in my view.
Gather together to greet the storm friends. We've got a long way to go... we're not even close to the end of the beginning. -
does anyone remember the 90's french classic "la haine"
from a paranoid / fatalistic perspective the comment at the outset seems apt perhaps...C'est l'histoire d'un homme qui tombe d'un immeuble de 50 étages. Le mec, au fur et à mesure de sa chute, il se répète sans cesse pour se rassurer : " Jusqu'ici tout va bien... Jusqu'ici tout va bien... Jusqu'ici tout va bien. " Mais l'important, c'est pas la chute. C'est l'atterrissage.
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and that seems to be that large scale closures don't work...that message seems to come out fairly consistently. the problem is that the only good news being reported is that cases in china falling now, including in wuhan, as a result of massive shut down efforts...
people are going to look at that and think wtf aren't we doing the only thing that appears to have helped curtail the virus...
it's difficult to avid thinking we are just behind the curve of china / italy and that acting as they did later rather than sooner we are simply repeating their mistakes.. -
what is the thinking of the uk government in relation to measures aiming to stop the spread & impact of the virus?
From what i can gather / infer the thinking seems to be that the spread of the virus is inevitable - that containment has / will fail - so the best result can be to spread out the virus' effect by implementing slowing measures (social distancing) gradually to relieve peak stress on the health services?
is the argument against massive, immediate concentrated efforts to lock down the virus a la Wuhan / northern Italy that it will unlikely work and that the impact of it would be so calamitous to society / the economy that it is the greater evil compared to the position whereby more limited measures are introduced gradually to simply slow the process of spread down?If thats right the reality looks to be that the shit sandwich will be big, we will all have to take a bite, and that the process is going to be stretched out for a while so that we don't all puke at once.
I hope thats the rationale, as opposed to let's wait until it's really bad until we do anything because we can't face making brave decisions now.
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a patient with underlying health conditions according to sky news feed
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85 confirmed cases in uk now
I was at a management committee meeting for my work yesterday - skyping in from home - was expecting a war cabinet with a real enthusiasm to be proactive...our regulator had issued very helpful and clear guidance on what steps we should be taken in readiness...instead nobody seemed bothered at all, let alone interested in talking about contingency plans...i raised the question of our readiness and policies at the end and was met with the response lets not over-react, suck it and see, and its just like flu.
was quite disappointed