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There seems to be quite a lot of drone footage now of the floods. Here's one for font fans:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FENco55_IaY
There really needs to be so much investment in hydrological engineering, especially, it seems, in the North, although there are obviously often localised floods in London, too. It's just shocking how much this has been neglected.
Again, comparing it to the floods in East Germany, around the river Elbe, in 2002, where you had similar problems--houses built in the flood plain, the centre of Dresden under water, etc.--, they've since done an enormous amount of work on the areas affected. It's not exactly rocket science to get it right.
Shocking to read that insurance premiums went up threefold in Bentley, so that people could no longer afford them.
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Oh, absolutely, I wouldn't want to understate the difficulties. I don't understand polling, anyway. However, in Germany there's an element of FPTP, too--the Bundestag is composed of directly-elected MPs and those taken from the party lists, in a roughly 50:50 split, so German pollsters must have worked out methods that work for the 'direct mandates', as they're called in German, too.
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A longer article about how bad things are in the US:
Obviously, as above, the Tories want to force the introduction of these kinds of measures in Britain, too.
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- 15 comments
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Maybe someone should make a poll advent calendar.
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I'm not sure how anyone, including Mr McDonnell, can make any kind of prediction about this election. I personally don't have the foggiest idea what's going to happen, and I've looked at the polls, read about politics a lot, etc. In the words of Private Eye: Nobody really knows anything (or thereabouts).
I mean, in Germany it's boring--the polls have mostly been extremely accurate (with honourable exceptions), and the outcome of elections really could be predicted before polling day. Somehow, they've got their methods in better shape than pollsters have here.
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So, this is probably what the shape of this campaign is going to be like:
Johnson exploiting the fact that he is both incompetent and untrustworthy, so people can never really decide for what reason he says anything.
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