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I’m travelling back from Finland...
Oi!
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And if the vote of no confidence was premised on preventing a vote on an extension of A50, do you think the other parties/MPs would let May's government collapse knowing that was the cost?
There's way too much uncertainty in all of this and there's so little precedent. It's not even clear parliament needs to vote on an extension. And knowing May's disregard/contempt for parliament, even if it were necessary, it's likely she'd have a go extending it anyway.
None of this is optimism. I'm just less certain about my ability to predict the future.
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Sure. After which they still won't have a majority in parliament.
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Maybe we should get elder scrolls online...
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Ha! Beat it yet?
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They're not a majority in parliament, though.
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Yeah, no idea if a vote is necessary for extension. It would maybe come down to the powers which other votes have given to the government to negotiate. Extensions are potentially encapsulated in there (as the transition time seems to have been).
I'd like to think that if shit hit the fan (or more shit hits the fan), there would be enough pressure within the government force a vote through in one way or another. I would also expect it to pass in parliament. So I think I'm perhaps slightly less pessimistic than you. Not to sound like a Brexiter, but, the EU doesn't want a cliff-edge scenario either, so hopefully they could - as they have in every other case - force the UK into an extension (or something else).
@andyp - We actually almost went to Oulu for the week. Was trying to find somewhere to camp/hike for midsummer. Ended heading east instead. Was it for work? Do get in touch if you're coming through - even if just a quick olut or kahvia before a flight.