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@DoubtfulAce
Prediction: The 4 seats have are the Reform high watermark.
They are good for 20%-ish at General Elections but not much more. Under First Past The Post they are going to struggle to win seats.
The Tory General Election campaign isn't going to be the clown like shit show it was in July, simply not that bad, not defending a 14 year record of non achievement, corruption and division.
I do think Reforms' blaming everything on the immigrants is going to wear thin over time, especally if Labour can do sensible stuff and push the topic down the agenda.
I do hope that Reform are the SDP (remember them) of the 21st Centuary and keep Labour in power for a decade.