You are reading a single comment by @kl and its replies.
Click here to read the full conversation.
-
the polls don't correct for the 'shy Trump voter' effect
They absolutely do, or try to. The pollsters have been working on their methodologies massively in recent years since fucking up so badly with him before. Problem is, we don't know, and they don't know, if they've over- or under-corrected.
kl-
They absolutely do, or try to
What I heard was that they don't try to.
Apparently their approach is different from the UK. Here they try to predict a result taking factors like that into account. There the focus is on reporting clean numbers, allowing people to overlay their own assumptions, should they wish to.
frank9755
Trump.
Reason being I understand that the polls don't correct for the 'shy Trump voter' effect and he has historically done better than polls have expected. Harris would have to be a few points further ahead to have a good chance.