-
What the polls looking like today? Since this is basically a gamble at this point, what's ppls bets?
Trump.
Reason being I understand that the polls don't correct for the 'shy Trump voter' effect and he has historically done better than polls have expected. Harris would have to be a few points further ahead to have a good chance.
frank9755-
I think it'll be the other way around this time. Lots of women voters, who the polls don't pick up, will be voting for Harris to stop Trump.
Everything I've read on US polling says it's a) harder to do than UK polling because of the sheer size of the country and b) the methodologies used by pollsters vary wildly in terms of accuracy.
-
the polls don't correct for the 'shy Trump voter' effect
They absolutely do, or try to. The pollsters have been working on their methodologies massively in recent years since fucking up so badly with him before. Problem is, we don't know, and they don't know, if they've over- or under-corrected.
andyp
kl
What the polls looking like today? Since this is basically a gamble at this point, what's ppls bets?