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step up in violence and destruction
It's this isn't it. The easy win didn't happen, but Russia can surely escalate in ways Ukraine can't.
hoefla-
The easy win didn't happen, but Russia can surely escalate in ways Ukraine can't.
Yes. For one thing, Russia still has a fully functioning economy and supply chain, while Ukraine's is being torn apart. Zelenskyy probably had this very much on his mind when he said "I need ammunition, not a ride". If Putin's resolve holds, time and logistics are on his side.
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It's this isn't it. The easy win didn't happen, but Russia can surely escalate in ways Ukraine can't.
TOS-1 with thermobaric warheads are apparently waiting to be deployed. There's no way to fire those near civilian populations without causing huge numbers of casualties apparently.
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The easy win didn't happen, but Russia can surely escalate in ways Ukraine can't.
The fact pictures of these :
https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1497513126924853259
and TOS-1 being deployed to the field suggests the potential for a horrific escalation
https://twitter.com/theragex/status/1497532898412572672Until now it does seem they have been trying to limit civilian casualties, presumably in the miscalculation they could inflict regime change and people be indifferent and not wanting pictures at home of atrocities. Hard to see how they retreat without losing face or escalate without creating a large insurgency and creating public unrest domestically. Maybe some re-agreement of Minsk 2 and taking the land bridge to Crimea but who knows what Putin's ego will accept.
itsbruce
atz
greentricky
From what I have read, Russia has approx 800k professional troops vs 200k in Ukraine.
I assume Russia can’t commit all of their 800k soldiers vs all of Ukraine’s in addition to conscription, civilians and volunteers.
Rolling into the capital with 2000 tanks isn’t really an option any more either, with suitable airports not being fully secured.
I assume supply vehicles and Russian supply chain are primary targets for the Ukraine Air Force, missiles and artillery.
Not an easy victory, and I’m deeply concerned it will step up in violence and destruction.