Maybe im beeing to fast when im trying to explain but im trying to be an effective courier whilst engaging in this conversation ;)
I have not in any news or articles that i can remember seen discussed that even if the chart of deaths 28 days after infection numbers are rising the deaths from covid could be fewer than previously in reality.
I have often heard that "yes we have more infections now but not more deaths but we Will have to wait and see if those numbers start climbing" but never a footnote or clarification that this number is expected to rise even if the actually number of deaths are The same or less with a more infectious variant.
I have not in any news or articles that i can remember seen discussed that even if the chart of deaths 28 days after infection numbers are rising the deaths from covid could be fewer than previously in reality
I'm not sure it's possible to deduce a good % of "hey COVID is probably bless of a factor in deaths" right now based on the data.
I'd imagine you can have a shot at it, but the data has to be there & the models to calculate otherwise it's guess work.
Edit: For example: Do you take "people in hospital with 0 symptoms of COVID then dying?" "A group dying with Omicron not vaccinated at all VS delta"?
Sure agreed. I dont have a better solution either for reporting so its not about that but u could n perhaps should point out that a new variant which is more infectious will yield more deaths reported even if that is not the case in reality. Ppl look at those numbers to try and determine which way we are headed on their own and if its not a fair comparison that should be noted.
Im sure experts and those responsible for our health are aware of this so its not that i think they have missed this, just its not in the message broadcasted so those worried who look at the charts could think its heading for disaster when infact its looking better than before. I have not looked actively if this has been discussed before in the news since its something that just popped into my head last night when thinking about that chart but im sure someone talked about it on twitter or similar but its not in the regular news channels to be picked up that i can remember anyways. But its also a rather new variant ofc and excess death will be much better info regardless.
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