For me, Garmin training status is usually a good rule of thumb. Unproductive usually means I need a day or two off. I used to think it was wrong. Maybe it just varies by individual how well it works.
i find it goes in cycles, usually peaking after taking a bit of break after a good period of training as the decrease in load arrow above suggests. And I usually do feel fresh when it says that. I find it's then really hard not to get unproductive... maybe I just need to scale my efforts right back at that point.
I cycle more than run though, so think mine gets muddles by that as you don't get a status after a cycling activity.
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