I’m also not brilliant at stats but I’m not sure this is something where “significance” testing would apply as there is no (or very little) uncertainty in the numbers. These aren’t sample means used to estimate the true population figure - they’re hard numbers for the whole population, on a measure (death) which is traditionally hard to miss for recording purposes, so it’s either higher or it isn’t.
Whether the rise is significant in terms of its impact on society/the economy etc is obviously a different question.
Imagine 100 people die on average in October over the last 5 years. The actual numbers might be 90, 95, 100, 105 & 110. If this year 107 people died in October it is higher than the 5 year average but still normal.
I’m also not brilliant at stats but I’m not sure this is something where “significance” testing would apply as there is no (or very little) uncertainty in the numbers. These aren’t sample means used to estimate the true population figure - they’re hard numbers for the whole population, on a measure (death) which is traditionally hard to miss for recording purposes, so it’s either higher or it isn’t.
Whether the rise is significant in terms of its impact on society/the economy etc is obviously a different question.