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@NurseHolliday
I know Boris Johnson is an absolute twat but his press conference last week with the CMO and CSA was surprisingly good. The Guardian said it wasn't very reassuring, but Whitty explains well why they don't want to shut everything down too early otherwise the public will get fatigued, and the tactic to attempt to delay the peak until summer.
Things have moved along a lot in a week but I think it still stands and based on conversations my wife has had with David Spiegelhalter and some members of the RSS, reading between the lines, the mood seems to be that we're going to end up doing what Italy did, just not yet